harsens_rob (harsens_rob) wrote,
harsens_rob
harsens_rob

Polling




Nate Silver, an expert in statistics and analysis, whose site I link to on my journal page (upper left side under 'updated political news') has this post from yesterday that was interesting... if you're generally anti-GOP which I've become since the 2008 elections (at the national level, anyway - I'm still interested in the Michigan GOP candidates).



Republicans -- Not Obama -- More Often on Wrong Side of Public Opinion

by Nate Silver

One of the more commonplace assertions among pundits on the center-right -- made rather carelessly by Victor Davis Hanson and more thoughtfully by Jay Cost, is that agenda put forward by Obama and the Democrats is overwhelmingly unpopular and that Democrats are simply getting their comeuppance for having pushed such a liberal set of reforms forward. These claims, however, rely on selective evidence, invariably citing policies like health care and the GM bailouts which are indeed unpopular (strongly so, in some cases), while ignoring many other issues on which Obama has been on the right side of public opinion.


(Go to the link, to click his linkages for V.D. Hanson & J. Cost)


Now, while this may be technically true, Mr. Silver has divided the topics with polling data into 25 rough categories. Obama is polling more good than bad on 14...  14 outta 25.

Seems to me that even if Republicans are doing worse than is generally portrayed by the alleged MSM Leftist Conspiracy, the WH isn't exactly making friends with the American public either... and since they're the ones in nominal power (it's hard to tell) he and by extension the Democrats are still in some deep doo-doo come Mid-terms, which are rapidly approaching. And, that makes me sad and anxious.

The problem with the Democratic Senate members, of course, is that it isn't so much about party as it is about ideology - Conservative (the blue dogs) vs. the Liberals (what we usually consider DNC members in Congress). Is it any wonder that the Democratic Party has trouble when it comes to passing legislation over the Republicans - they're too busy battling each other. And it appears by this analysis that the Blue Dogs are taking the right tack on the bare majority of issues, or that messaging is utterly failing on that bare majority of issues that a more Progressive agenda is better for America's prospects.

It appears to me that both parties are generally hated right now, and that makes pundit-crowing on either side and hot-air speeches by either party's members specious, to say the least. I think this really just confirms some general feelings I've been having that it's not so much Pro-Conservative or Pro-Progressive sentiment that is important for choosing candidates who can win this election cycle - it's Established Politicians that are the bigger problem for the both parties. People are tired of the status-quo, back and forth arguing between professional politicians and Washington insiders... I'm thinking that both parties could only enhance their profiles by throwing up new names and fresh faces right now rather than re-running current faces.
Tags: opinion
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